The Ministry of Economy downgraded its consensus forecast for GDP growth to 3.4% in 2021

The Ministry of Economy downgraded its forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth in 2021 from 4.1% to 3.4%, according to the consensus forecast posted on the Ministry’s website.

The Ministry of Economy expects Ukraine’s GDP growth to slow down to 3.6% in 2022 against the previous forecast of 3.7%.

The Ministry explains a downward revision of the forecast by slower growth in investments.

“The revised indicators primarily result from the downward adjustment of investment growth rates. Despite this, in terms of rates, they will exceed almost all demand elements, which will have positive upward dynamics,” according to the consensus forecast.

The Ukrainian economy is expected to grow 3.4% and 4% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.

“Although the rate of Ukraine’s economic growth will tend to accelerate in 2023–2024, it will not exceed the potential growth rate,” explains the document.

Meanwhile, the National Bank of Ukraine earlier downgraded its growth projection for Ukraine’s GDP in 2021 to 3.1%. Ukraine’s economy is expected to have grown by 3.8% by the end of 2022.

GMK Center’s analysis showed that the prospects for growth of Ukraine’s economy in 2021 are estimated at 3–5% on average.

Share
Published by
Vadim Kolisnichenko
Tags: Ukraine’s GDP macroeconomics Ministry of Economy
  • Infrastructure

Polish seaports handled 2.49 million tons of iron ore in 2023

In 2023, Polish seaports reduced the transshipment of iron ore and scrap by 18.5% compared…

Tuesday April 30, 2024
  • Global Market

Eurozone and EU GDP grew by 0.3% q/q in Q1

In January-March 2024, the seasonally adjusted GDP of the euro area and the European Union…

Tuesday April 30, 2024
  • Companies

POSCO starts modernization of blast furnace No. 4 in Pohang

South Korean steelmaker POSCO started maintenance of blast furnace No. 4 in Pohang in late…

Tuesday April 30, 2024
  • Global Market

EU increased imports of steel products by 4% y/y in January-February – EUROFER

In January-February 2024, the European Union (EU) increased steel imports from third countries (rolled products…

Tuesday April 30, 2024
  • Companies

Interpipe paid UAH 1.2 billion in taxes in Q1

In January-March 2024, Interpipe, a global producer of steel pipes and railway products, increased its…

Tuesday April 30, 2024
  • Global Market

Iron ore price to exceed $100/t in 2024 – HSBC

The price of iron ore will exceed $100 per ton on average this year. This…

Tuesday April 30, 2024